Our 18/1 top Odds Pick Rory McIlroy did the business last week at the Wells Fargo Championship, and we’re looking to give the bookies a bashing once again at the AT&T Byron Nelson.
Dustin Johnson has withdrawn with a knee injury, with Jon Rahm, Jordan Spieth, Bryson DeChambeau and Brooks Koepka topping the bill.
And they’ll be teeing off at a course making its debut on the PGA Tour, TPC Craig Ranch in Texas.
An interesting stat going in is that two of the three PGA tournaments in Texas this season were won by players with connections to the Lone Star State, as Texas-born Jordan Spieth won in San Antonio, while Texas-educated Carlos Ortiz triumphed in Houston.
And even looking back at the last edition of this event in 2019, surprise winner Sung Kang was based in North Texas.
So we’re looking close to home for our top Odds Picks this week!
Our Top Odds Pick – Bryson DeChambeau To Win – 9/1 at Betfred
Bryson DeChambeau certainly had an eventful Wells Fargo Championship, thinking he had missed the cut and heading home to Dallas after his second round, only to be told mid-flight that the cut line had dropped and he was in for the weekend!
So one quick home gym session later and he was back on the plane ready for an early tee time on Saturday, and hit a pair of 68s to finish in the top ten!
He finished second in the main putting stats in North Carolina, which bodes well as he heads to the vast greens of Craig Ranch, and with wide fairways set to suit the bombers as well, DeChambeau finds something else in his favour.
He seems to really like TPC tracks too, coming third at the Players Championship and 8th at the Shriners this season, as well as winning at TPC Deere Run, TPC Summerlin and TPC Boston in the past.
The danger with backing the top golfers in tournaments that take place immediately before a major is that the world’s best often use them as tune-ups, or simply have one eye on the bigger prize the following week.
However, as a Dallas resident, we reckon DeChambeau would dearly love to win in front of his home crowd, and will be going full throttle from tee to green.
Our Long Shot – Ryan Palmer EW (1/5 of the odds, first 8) – 35/1 at Paddy Power
TPC Craig Ranch may be a new course on the PGA Tour, but one man has played it more than most, and that’s Ryan Palmer.
Texan Palmer lives just 35 miles away and has played Craig Ranch many times, even owning the course record there.
He will be as comfortable as anyone on the course if the Texas wind starts blowing, and even has some solid form going in, with six top 20 berths in his last 11 tournaments, including three top-five finishes.
Palmer has also made the cut in his last 12 tournaments, and while he under-performed last week at the Wells Fargo, McIlroy’s victory showed just what an affinity with the course can do to a player’s form.
So we’re happy to pile in on Flyin’ Ryan here!
Please note that all odds are correct at time of publication and are subject to change.